Intuit QuickBooks Small Business Index, June 2025

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Employment Index

In May 2025, employment for US small businesses with one to nine employees decreased by 1,900 jobs compared to April (a 0.02% decrease month over month). These small businesses now employ 12,765,400 people, based on the Index’s updated projection from the latest available official statistics (released in May) which end in September 2024.⁺ Please note, in June 2025, a small but important update was made to the methodology for the US small business employment index to continuously increase our accuracy levels on the model that provides monthly employment estimates. Read more about the methodology update here.

By sector

Small business employment increased in seven of the 12 sectors tracked by the Index. The largest increase was in agriculture, natural resources, and mining (NAICS 11; 21), with a monthly growth rate of 0.17% (300 jobs). The utilities sector (NAICS 22) contracted the fastest, with a decline of 0.72% (-400 jobs).

By region

Regionally, small business employment was mixed—declining in four of eight regions of the US. The Plains (Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota) saw the fastest decline, with a monthly decrease of 0.07% (-600 jobs). On the other end, New England saw the fastest growth (0.04%), adding 300 jobs. Likewise, employment increased in 11 of the 20 states tracked by the Index. Oregon had the fastest growth, increasing by 0.15% month-over-month (200 jobs).

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Revenue Index

In May 2025, average real monthly revenue for US small businesses with one to nine employees was $54,120 (in 2017 dollars), a monthly decrease of 0.06%. The Index is deflated to 2017 dollars to remove the impact of inflation and track real changes in revenue. It is also seasonally adjusted.

By sector

Small business revenue decreased in six of the 12 sectors tracked by the Index. Agriculture, natural resources, and mining (NAICS 11; 21) decreased the fastest, with a monthly decline of 2.47% (a decrease of $1,700 per business). Revenue increased fastest in the leisure and hospitality sector (NAICS 71, 72), growing by 3.26% ($1,120 per business). 

By region

Small business revenue decreased in five of eight US regions — decreasing the fastest in the Plains (Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota) with a decline of 1.00% (a decrease of $550 per business). Of the 20 states tracked, 12 saw an increase in small business revenue in May. Revenue increased the fastest in Michigan, with a monthly growth rate of 3.12% (an increase of $1,770 per business).

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More information

Get more data insights from the interactive Intuit QuickBooks Small Business Index dashboard.

Media inquiries

Media contact details for QuickBooks in the US can be found here on the Intuit website.

Canada Index

The Intuit QuickBooks Small Business Index is also published monthly in Canada. Get the latest small business employment insights for Canada here. 

UK Index

The Intuit QuickBooks Small Business Index is also published monthly in the UK, typically one week later than in the US and Canada. Get the latest small business employment insights for the UK here.

About the Index

The Intuit QuickBooks Small Business Index tracks monthly changes in small business employment and revenue, published in the US, Canada, and the UK. The Index is powered by anonymized data from 533,000 QuickBooks customers, official statistics, and robust economic models developed by Professor Ufuk Akcigit and an international team of independent economists. The economic models normalize anonymized QuickBooks customer data to reflect the general population of small businesses in each country; it is not a reflection of Intuit’s business.

Methodology

The Intuit QuickBooks Small Business Index creates aggregated data outputs from a sample of anonymized QuickBooks Online Payroll customer records which are calibrated using statistical methods to create modeled results which better reflect the general population of small businesses in each country, as represented by published official statistics. Statistical adjustment ensures the Index truly reflects employment and job vacancy changes rather than trends in the QuickBooks customer base. 

Read more or download the full methodology here. 

Rounded values

Total and monthly changes in employment and job vacancies have been rounded to the nearest hundred. Monthly changes and growth rates are calculated before total employment or job vacancy values are rounded. Rates have been rounded to the nearest hundredth.

Seasonal adjustments

The Index’s data insights are seasonally adjusted to limit the effect of seasonal patterns in employment and hiring throughout the year, which lead to regular fluctuations in workforce growth and contraction.

Employment growth formula

Employment growth(t) = [Employment(t)-Employment(t-1)]/[0.5*Employment(t)+0.5*Employment(t-1)]

*Employment levels

The Index produces a monthly prediction of employment growth rates by country, region, and sector. In order to translate these growth rates into the number of jobs/vacancies gained or lost, the growth rates are multiplied by the prior month’s predicted employment levels, except during the months when official statistics are published. During those months, the latest official employment levels that have been reported are used in the calculation instead of the Index’s prior month’s predicted employment levels. As a result, the Index’s predicted total employment levels may at times differ from the predicted growth rates. Official statistics are published at different frequencies depending on the country ranging from monthly to quarterly.

⁺Note: The Index’s economic model is refreshed every 2 to 4 months when the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics updates its employment statistics. Official statistics are an essential component of the Index because they make it nationally representative of small business employment. Whenever they are updated, this provides new information that wasn’t previously available, which is why the Index’s latest estimates for small business employment sometimes differ from older estimates. The latest estimates always provide the most accurate picture of small business employment or hiring because they include the most up-to-date official statistics.

June 2025 methodology update

In June 2025, a small but important update was made to the methodology for the US small business employment index to continuously increase accuracy levels on the model that provides monthly employment estimates. From June 2025, the anonymized payroll data provided by these businesses will only be included in the Index’s sample when they use QuickBooks Online Payroll in two consecutive months, excluding months when businesses join or leave the platform. As before, the Index’s sample will continue to be benchmarked against official statistics to ensure the monthly estimates show employment for all US businesses with 1-9 employees, not just for QuickBooks customers, and all data is aggregated prior to publication. In the US, the size of the sample is currently 420,000 businesses using the QuickBooks platform. Further details of this update to the methodology can be found here.

Time series

The Index uses data going back to January 2015 in the US and Canada and to January 2018 in the UK. Published at the earliest opportunity every month, the Index shows the number of people employed by small businesses (in the US and Canada) or the number of job vacancies at small businesses (in the UK) in the previous month and how that number has changed since the month before. The Index helps to eliminate almost all of the time lags in official statistics by providing estimated projections of what those statistics will ultimately show when they are published.

Sample sizes

The total sample across all three countries is 533,000 small businesses. The US sample is 420,000 small businesses. The Canadian sample is 87,000 small businesses. The UK sample is 26,000 small businesses. The minimum sample sizes for regions or sectors to be included in the Index are 1,000 small businesses in the US, 800 small businesses in Canada, and 200 small businesses in the UK.

Target populations

In the US and UK, the Index targets the populations of small businesses with one to nine employees. In Canada, the target population is small businesses with one to 19 employees. The differences ensure the Index’s data insights are consistent with official statistics in each country, which are used for benchmarking during the calibration process. Timely data insights for these populations of small businesses are particularly valuable since most datasets fail to cover this portion of the economy well. Please note: Unlike in the US and Canada, the UK Index uses job vacancy data for calibration rather than employment data because official employment statistics are not currently available for small businesses on a monthly basis. 

External data sources

External data sources used alongside the samples of anonymized QuickBooks Online Payroll customer data include:

• U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Business Employment Dynamics (BED) and Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) 
• U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis regions

Geographic regions

• USA data insights are divided into Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) regions

Industry sectors

• USA data insights are available by North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) sectors 

Disclaimer

This content is for information purposes only and should not be considered legal, accounting or tax advice, or a substitute for obtaining professional advice specific to your business. Additional information and exceptions may apply. Applicable laws may vary by region, state or locality. No assurance is given that the information is comprehensive in its coverage or that it is suitable in dealing with a customer’s particular situation. Intuit does not have any responsibility for updating or revising any information presented herein. Accordingly, the information provided should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research. Intuit does not warrant that the material contained herein will continue to be accurate nor that it is completely free of errors when published. Readers should verify statements before relying on them.

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